Menacing-Barstool
0xc953f042ad550d094625d3cb418124e20d421ae5
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$7.85
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
15201 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.20
- NO
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
9501 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- NO
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2AM ET
4640 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 2AM ET
4640 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 4?
3712 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 9-12%?
2960 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.73May 26, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$5.30May 23, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$5.28May 23, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$5.27May 23, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$5.27May 23, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$5.27May 23, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$5.24May 23, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.15May 21, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$5.32May 20, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$5.31May 20, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.30May 20, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.25May 20, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.24May 20, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.24May 20, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$5.22May 20, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$14.13May 20, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$5.23May 20, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.40May 20, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$30.44May 20, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$0.00May 20, 19:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 22:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.