0xc9565113759018fd03151d336fe527da163e9168
0xc9565113759018fd03151d336fe527da163e9168
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-373.98
Realised
$-3.30
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 56-57°F on February 8?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
185 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 13?
105 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-36.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7AM ET
60 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on February 12?
52 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 12?
47 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 13?
44 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 12?
41 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 13?
31 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
29 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$5.33Mar 2, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$0.00Mar 2, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$5.33Mar 2, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$5.29Mar 2, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$5.31Mar 1, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$10.62Mar 1, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$2.76Feb 28, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$2.76Feb 28, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$2.76Feb 28, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$2.76Feb 28, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$2.76Feb 28, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$2.76Feb 28, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$2.76Feb 28, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.76Feb 28, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$2.76Feb 28, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$2.76Feb 28, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$2.76Feb 28, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$6.32Feb 28, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$25.70Feb 28, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$2.76Feb 28, 10:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 09:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 03:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.