Striped-Import
0xc958a0584469c95f8ae754a291f66be14411fd04
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$51.32
Total PnL
$-144.52
Realised
$-6.91
Win rate
20%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 29?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$5.99
$1.02
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.95
$0.95
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$5.88
$0.88
- ARIZONA WILDCATS
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats
6 shares @ 71.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$5.59
$1.59
- ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes
5 shares @ 74.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$5.41
$1.37
- MICHIGAN WOLVERINES
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$5.24
$1.26
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.04
$1.06
- HURRICANES
Devils vs. Hurricanes
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$4.55
$1.55
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
4 shares @ 73.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.34
$1.16
- LIGHTNING
Senators vs. Lightning
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$3.33
$1.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-03-30?$5.00Mar 30, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$5.18Mar 30, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$5.00Mar 30, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$4.76Mar 30, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$5.00Mar 30, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$3.51Mar 30, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$4.94Mar 30, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$5.00Mar 30, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$5.00Mar 30, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$3.27Mar 30, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$5.00Mar 30, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$5.00Mar 30, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$4.15Mar 30, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWarriors vs. Nuggets$4.46Mar 30, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$4.00Mar 30, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?$4.58Mar 30, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Nuggets$5.00Mar 30, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$4.94Mar 30, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$5.00Mar 29, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$2.19Mar 29, 23:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 22:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 06:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.