Obvious-Year
0xc962b781a2823f1a88da8acc92f11a6eaf395502
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-136.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during Australia PM events on October 20?
1242 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-42.69
- NO
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Aluminum" during Australia PM events on October 20?
967 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.67
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Australia PM events on October 20?
767 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Missing Epstein cell footage released before August?
198 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.36
- YES
Bitcoin above $122,000 on July 21?
182 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $300 in October?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rachel Reeves leave Starner’s cabinet by July 15th?
82 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before August?
54 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$0.00Dec 18, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMTom Brady and Sydney Sweeney confirmed relationship before August?$0.00Dec 18, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Green New Scam" while addressing the nation on December 17?$10.00Dec 18, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?$16.23Dec 18, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" while addressing the nation on December 17?$20.00Dec 18, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?$4.00Dec 18, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" while addressing the nation on December 17?$10.00Dec 18, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump" while addressing the nation on December 17?$5.00Dec 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during Australia PM events on October 20?$42.69Oct 20, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$42.69Oct 20, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Aluminum" during Australia PM events on October 20?$1.67Oct 20, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.67Oct 20, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$44.27Oct 20, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 20, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Australia PM events on October 20?$1.00Oct 20, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $300 in October?$1.00Oct 20, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$2.00Oct 20, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$5.00Oct 20, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 20, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$5.00Oct 20, 23:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $11.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 13:57 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 02:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".