Flickering-Investigator
0xc96cf3d6ddf82e14da5b6a3602d44bd9563a2a2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.19
Total PnL
$-537.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
116668 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-375.32
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
15000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-54.99
- YES
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
10000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
10000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on January 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 25°F or below on January 21?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on January 21?
204 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.05May 11, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.08May 11, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.40May 11, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.44May 11, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.08May 11, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.00May 11, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.10May 11, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 11, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.01May 11, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.07May 11, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.07May 11, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.01May 11, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.51May 11, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.02May 11, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 11, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 11, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.09May 11, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 11, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 11, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 11, 10:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 06:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 17:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".