Straight-Lobby
0xc97211e36f8b32425c87d4d7ae7ebc4c382aa814
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$34.56
Total PnL
$-12.30
Realised
$-0.86
Win rate
0%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.53
$8.53
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
6 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$6.12
$3.12
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.30
$3.30
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.84
$1.84
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.39
$1.39
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
3 shares @ 64.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.11
$1.11
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1 shares @ 90.3¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
9 shares @ 11.5¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or higher on May 23?
12 shares @ 32.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?$1.02May 24, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?$2.03May 24, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on May 23?$2.82May 23, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 23?$2.04May 23, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23?$2.05May 23, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?$2.02May 23, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on May 23?$4.29May 23, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or higher on May 23?$2.06May 22, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on May 23?$3.04May 22, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on May 23?$2.03May 22, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 21?$0.00May 22, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 21?$5.17May 22, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend his son's wedding?$2.05May 22, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Inflation" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$1.02May 22, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$2.06May 22, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or higher on May 23?$2.07May 22, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 79°F or below on May 23?$1.03May 22, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?$1.00May 21, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?$1.00May 21, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?$2.50May 21, 05:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 05:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 12:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.