Yellow-Inequality
0xc9751b5f25e1ecd88ec4630d19422b58d0562c68
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$18.9K
Total PnL
$485.01
Realised
$172.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.6K
$2.1K
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
3177 shares @ 94.4¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.0K
$29.19
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
2586 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.5K
$3.24
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
2000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$70.00
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1900 shares @ 78.9¢·now 89.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$194.75
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
1579 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.6K
$75.00
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.4K
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1215 shares @ 82.2¢·now 79.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$970.16
$-28.55
- YES
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
232 shares @ 69.2¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 23, 2027$182.45
$21.69
- YES
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
175 shares @ 50.5¢·now 15.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$27.14
$-61.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.06Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.06Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.06Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.06Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$500.00Jul 25, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?$19.61Jul 25, 21:20 UTC
- YIELD$1.06Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.56Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$7.0KJul 20, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken?$1.6KJul 20, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.83Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$400.00Jul 19, 16:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix say "Squid Game" during earnings call?$0.00Jul 17, 01:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.39Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $190.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 02:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.