Handmade-Disarmament
0xc97ab5ba30745e15f9e2ca48cfe791ba021644d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$11.37
Total PnL
$-64.17
Realised
$14.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
78 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.37
$-2.74
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?
1300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-13.40
- NO
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?
105 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.12
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?
20 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?
13 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.25
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 14, 2026?
13 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.88
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?
13 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 17, 2026?
13 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$14.11Feb 20, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 1, 2026?$0.00Feb 1, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?$4.40Feb 1, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 1, 2026?$18.51Feb 1, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 1, 2026?$15.73Feb 1, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?$9.38Feb 1, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?$6.00Jan 31, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?$2.50Jan 30, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?$3.00Jan 29, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?$5.00Jan 29, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 24, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 14, 2026?$0.00Jan 17, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 17, 2026?$4.50Jan 17, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$7.25Jan 16, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026?$16.63Jan 16, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?$6.50Jan 15, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?$17.76Jan 15, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026?$4.50Jan 15, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?$0.00Jan 15, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?$5.00Jan 15, 14:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $14.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 23:24 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 07:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".