Prize-Nibble
0xc97dda6242b31c5708a8600d5afddfc096cb57a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$3.54
Total PnL
$-389.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.47
$-0.00
- NO
Will Pedri be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.07
$0.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
100 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-43.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
100 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
100 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
100 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
100 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-41.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
100 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-42.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.17Jun 24, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedri be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.07Jun 13, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.47Jun 13, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.14Jun 13, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 18?$1.06Jun 13, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?$2.43Jun 13, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.66Jun 13, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 18?$1.06May 17, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?$2.40May 17, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.32May 17, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be 55°F or below on April 10?$1.16May 17, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?$2.48May 17, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.88May 17, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 55°F or below on April 10?$1.16Apr 9, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?$2.40Apr 9, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.20Apr 9, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$1.31Apr 9, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.56Apr 9, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$4.52Apr 9, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$1.30Mar 16, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $200.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 13:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 04:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.