Candid-Vehicle-Plight
0xc97ec824debc08039b0055d596b453088595b983
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-924.33
Realised
$-10.85
Win rate
50%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
385 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-74.36
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
188 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-54.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
152 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
115 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-29.99
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
104 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
97 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-39.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
87 shares @ 55.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-48.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
58 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.89Jul 20, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.04Jul 20, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.04Jul 20, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.03Jul 20, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.03Jul 20, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.03Jul 20, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.03Jul 20, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$2.30Jul 20, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.04Jul 20, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.04Jul 20, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.04Jul 20, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.03Jul 20, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.03Jul 20, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.03Jul 20, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1.05Jul 20, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1.04Jul 20, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1.04Jul 20, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$17.06Jul 20, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$5.15Jul 20, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$5.14Jul 20, 05:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 02:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 19:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.