Weak-Constraint
0xc996d11063a4fe58149b9d120bc9198d03cbffa8
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$106.73
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
28 shares @ 94.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$27.55
$1.59
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.97
$-0.01
- YES
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
15 shares @ 90.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$15.00
$1.39
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
15 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$15.00
$0.51
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
15 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$15.00
$0.49
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
14 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$14.21
$0.09
- NO
Will Getafe win on 2025-10-31?
1070 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-599.50
- MAGIC
Spread: Magic (-3.5)
942 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-471.00
- NO
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?
100 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-71.95
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$13.61Mar 20, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$19.24Mar 20, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$14.51Mar 20, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$16.00Mar 20, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$0.12Mar 20, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$2.13Mar 20, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$5.27Mar 20, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$843.84Mar 20, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$843.59Mar 20, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or higher on March 20?$14.99Mar 19, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or higher on March 20?$29.41Mar 19, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or higher on March 20?$2.00Mar 19, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or higher on March 20?$9.99Mar 19, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or higher on March 20?$9.99Mar 19, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or higher on March 20?$11.66Mar 19, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or higher on March 20?$5.00Mar 19, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or higher on March 20?$12.98Mar 19, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or higher on March 20?$10.99Mar 19, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or higher on March 20?$9.99Mar 19, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or higher on March 20?$19.98Mar 19, 15:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $47.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".