Soupy-Transformation
0xc996e2d28c2d93009d2b92eec936da59e9ecb309
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-183.16
Realised
$-33.43
Win rate
7%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
2008 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?
1656 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.07
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-01?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Over $14M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
281 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
265 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLOver $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$1.02Jul 4, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$1.06Jul 3, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$1.07Jul 3, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$0.26Jul 3, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$1.06Jul 3, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$1.06Jul 3, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$1.07Jul 2, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $18M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$0.08Jul 2, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $18M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$1.07Jul 2, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $14M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$1.07Jul 1, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier$1.89May 27, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier$1.01May 26, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Alexei Popyrin vs Zachary Svajda$1.01May 26, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Cavaliers$4.36May 26, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Cavaliers$3.04May 25, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros ATP: Rinky Hijikata vs Tommy Paul$2.06May 25, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Rinky Hijikata vs Tommy Paul$2.01May 25, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Torino FC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?$1.07May 24, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Torino FC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?$1.01May 24, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLShanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5$4.13May 23, 12:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
30 closed markets, 7% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 14:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 08:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.