Lavish-Ratepayer
0xc999ea4ad993c53cd68eb43ec9a2d0e65fe08643
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$1.03
Total PnL
$-22.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
53 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.03
$-0.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
5298 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.6K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
4500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
2662 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
2660 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
2660 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
2660 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
2558 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
2558 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2464 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.06Mar 30, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by March 31?$1.08Mar 30, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$13.80Feb 5, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.01Feb 5, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.01Feb 5, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 462 Million subscribers by January 31?$1.01Feb 5, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.02Feb 5, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$1.05Feb 5, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.05Feb 5, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)$1.08Feb 5, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)$1.11Feb 5, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.14Feb 5, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$2.03Feb 5, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$2.08Feb 5, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$2.13Feb 5, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$463.00Feb 5, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$263.91Jan 15, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.00Jan 15, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.00Jan 15, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 15, 02:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $418.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 03:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 03:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".