French-Stag
0xc99bde268d6abe900af3be4ca2fec6058304dcd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$141.18
Total PnL
$1.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
101 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$101.21
$1.21
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$10.00
$0.01
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
9 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.35
$2.15
- NO
Will Rennes win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$7.21
$0.01
- NO
Will Caroline van der Plas become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.41
$0.01
- NO
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.56
$4.56
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.44
$0.04
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
7 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
5 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$9.99Dec 28, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$100.00Dec 28, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$2.47Dec 28, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo visit Germany first?$3.02Dec 28, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wyatt Langford win the 2025 AL MVP?$3.04Dec 28, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$3.21Dec 28, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?$3.71Dec 28, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?$5.11Dec 28, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo visit Mexico first?$5.12Dec 28, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?$5.61Dec 28, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $270 September 29-October 5?$5.62Dec 28, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani get less than 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$6.04Dec 28, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gualberto Cusi Mamani win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$6.83Dec 28, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $3,800 September 29-October 5?$7.23Dec 28, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$7.31Dec 28, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$20.00Dec 28, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$7.20Nov 10, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$19.88Nov 10, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $270 September 29-October 5?$5.61Oct 4, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3,800 September 29-October 5?$7.22Oct 4, 19:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $12.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 08:46 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 28, 19:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".