Elaborate-Cement
0xc9a21d8a989b14151c792c37e6d178d21d8f3c36
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$6.21
Total PnL
$-26.17
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.1¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.24
$-0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.02
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 31?
5253 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 27?
2088 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.26
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 30?
2072 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on April 28?
2059 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.12
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 17?
2046 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.08
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on January 30?
1079 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?
309 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.56Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.08May 30, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.09May 30, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.12May 30, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.11May 30, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.08May 30, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.08May 30, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.09May 30, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.09May 30, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.08May 30, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.08May 30, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.08May 30, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.08May 30, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.08May 30, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.08May 30, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$19.36May 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$19.30May 21, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.78May 21, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?$15.35May 21, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?$15.30May 7, 09:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $370.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 05:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".