Aware-Peen
0xc9a83f93cd14343707860dc848014a34e3e224a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$6.04
Total PnL
$0.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- NO
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.14
$0.04
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.09
$0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Oct 16, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 16, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$1.00Oct 16, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$1.00Oct 16, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.21Oct 16, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.10Jul 2, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.20Jul 2, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$0.00Jul 2, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?$1.04Jul 2, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Everton win on 2024-12-07?$1.24Jul 2, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the top AI model on January 31?$1.32Jul 2, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?$1.50Jul 2, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?$2.68Jul 2, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on January 31?$1.20Jan 13, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1.50Jan 13, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?$1.50Jan 13, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luigi Mangione plead guilty?$1.01Jan 13, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?$1.20Jan 13, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$1.31Jan 13, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before 2025?$1.32Jan 13, 06:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $430.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 02:53 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 16, 03:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.