Appropriate-Osmosis
0xc9ae86dc1990fe43a19eccdc4e7ff1263dddef9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$370.60
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$0.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
400 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$370.60
$22.60
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?
11110 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-88.87
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
10686 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-106.28
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
8518 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
8107 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-103.85
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
8055 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-139.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
8000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-129.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
7777 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-132.21
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
7000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-87.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
5617 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-16.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?$0.00May 24, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China in 2026?$0.00May 24, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In$367.07May 24, 14:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?$10.41May 24, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China in 2026?$253.40May 24, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$4.98Apr 22, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$5.65Apr 22, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$0.52Apr 22, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$0.79Apr 22, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$0.07Apr 22, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$0.07Apr 22, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$0.07Apr 22, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$0.07Apr 22, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$0.07Apr 22, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$65.56Apr 6, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $400 in March?$100.00Apr 6, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$11.48Mar 12, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$0.56Mar 12, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$0.01Mar 12, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$1.19Mar 12, 14:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $37.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 07:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 14:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".