Polished-Alteration
0xc9b5f680bac1b5bd9326c9b55c308879f46eceba
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$7.71
Total PnL
$-6.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
185 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.59
$1.59
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.56
$1.56
- YES
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.38
$-0.63
- YES
Will "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
11 shares @ 8.9¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.26
$-0.74
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will Trump say "Cat" in May?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
52 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$1.05Jun 14, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$2.13Jun 14, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$1.05Jun 13, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.98Jun 13, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.05Jun 13, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$1.03Jun 13, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Jun 13, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.00Jun 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$1.00Jun 13, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$1.02Jun 13, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? $1.96Jun 13, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$1.20Jun 12, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5?$1.35Jun 5, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5?$1.03Jun 5, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$1.29Jun 5, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill President Trump attend the NBA Finals?$1.38Jun 5, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill President Trump attend the NBA Finals?$1.01Jun 2, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$1.02Jun 2, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? $1.00Jun 2, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480?$1.03Jun 2, 05:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 11:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 12:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.