Courteous-Godmother
0xc9b6c523b88281c67de82012ee4c4bb0eea0bfcd
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$760.04
Total PnL
$-6.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Iran leadership change by July 31?
200 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$198.50
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 28?
100 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$98.55
$-0.45
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
100 shares @ 94.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$94.45
$-0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on July 28?
80 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$79.76
$0.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 28?
66 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$65.94
$0.16
- NO
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$49.20
$-0.15
- NO
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by July 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 94.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$44.25
$-2.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on July 28?
30 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$29.94
$0.25
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on July 28?
24 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$23.91
$-0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 28?
22 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$21.86
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 28?$65.78Jul 27, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on July 28?$79.52Jul 27, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 28?$19.90Jul 27, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 28?$21.90Jul 27, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 28?$99.05Jul 27, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on July 28?$29.71Jul 27, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on July 28?$23.94Jul 27, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$94.50Jul 27, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by July 31?$99.20Jul 27, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$15.51Jul 27, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?$22.00Jul 27, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by July 31, 2026?$47.00Jul 27, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$49.35Jul 27, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by July 31?$99.20Jul 27, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$100.00Jul 8, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jul 4, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or below on July 1?$118.00Jul 1, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?$257.38Jul 1, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$50.00Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?$59.00Jul 1, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $74.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 09:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.