Defiant-Hippodrome
0xc9bc89297c682661554e881ba2b40849c9aee758
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$8.81
Total PnL
$-14.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
171 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.81
$-0.43
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
5052 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
2830 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2571 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2565 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2527 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2524 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
2524 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2385 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2382 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.23Mar 19, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Megadeth by Megadeth be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 7?$9.21Mar 19, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Megadeth by Megadeth be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 7?$9.20Feb 3, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.08Feb 3, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Wake Up Dead Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 16, 2025)$1.00Jan 7, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Lilo & Stitch' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Lilo & Stitch' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00Dec 16, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wake Up Dead Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 16, 2025)$1.00Dec 16, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.05Dec 16, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 9, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill APT. by Rosé and Bruno Mars be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$1.02Dec 9, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$1.10Dec 9, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$1.00Dec 2, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill APT. by Rosé and Bruno Mars be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$1.00Nov 25, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$0.00Nov 18, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.00Nov 18, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$72.00Nov 18, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$104.00Nov 18, 03:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $364.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 03:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.