0xc9c170873e07e44e1c2979a35821d5949c00de26
0xc9c170873e07e44e1c2979a35821d5949c00de26
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$282.33
Total PnL
$34.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
75 shares @ 40.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$66.38
$36.38
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
83 shares @ 24.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$60.83
$40.83
- YES
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?
207 shares @ 14.5¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$49.64
$19.64
- NO
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?
125 shares @ 24.7¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$38.72
$7.82
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?
35 shares @ 56.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$35.26
$15.26
- YES
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?
300 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$31.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
73 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?
66 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-17.20
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
61 shares @ 66.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$0.00Jun 2, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$4.14Jun 2, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$3.75Jun 2, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$3.04Jun 2, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.00Jun 2, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?$20.61Jun 2, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$5.30Jun 2, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$5.26Jun 2, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$14.84Jun 2, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.23Jun 2, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$10.01Jun 2, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.26Jun 2, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLInk FDV above $500M one day after launch?$20.40Jun 2, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBetmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?$30.91Apr 4, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$30.00Apr 4, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?$30.00Apr 4, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMBased FDV above $100M one day after launch?$90.91Apr 4, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?$17.20Mar 23, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$40.00Mar 23, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYInk FDV above $500M one day after launch?$20.00Mar 23, 12:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $17.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 12:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 20:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.