Soulful-Omelet
0xc9cb758578d2d74a32649f5ad8b15ef44c898ac9
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-31.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
17000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
3700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.70
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on March 31?
2700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
374 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.87
- YES
Will Elon tweet 800 or more times Jan 10-17?
354 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.77
- YES
Will Tom Cotton be Trump's Defense Secretary?
163 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.94
- YES
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
70 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.67
- YES
Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?
54 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.70Oct 9, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model on March 31?$2.70Mar 23, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$17.00Jan 29, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Jan 13, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Balatro' win Game of the Year?$0.00Jan 13, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 800 or more times Jan 10-17?$1.77Jan 13, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$1.87Jan 13, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Cotton be Trump's Defense Secretary?$1.94Dec 28, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.67Dec 24, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?$1.19Dec 13, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?$1.91Dec 10, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Balatro' win Game of the Year?$1.08Dec 9, 18:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $3.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 18:22 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 9, 08:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.