Verifiable-Orchard
0xc9cb9fc5a78e7f2cff6cea7dd8ad7a654d3c015f
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$12.92
Total PnL
$-472.05
Realised
$0.72
Win rate
43%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
300 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.42
$-1.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 20?
20 shares @ 30.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$3.90
$-2.10
- YES
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.50
$-2.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on May 20?
52 shares @ 9.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.09
$-3.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 20?
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.01
$-2.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15?
2953 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 27?
1497 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 27?
1270 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-19.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 30?
1151 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-31.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 15?
1050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 20?$0.20May 20, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 20?$2.30May 20, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on May 20?$0.90May 20, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on May 20?$0.30May 20, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on May 20?$1.46May 20, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 20?$3.00May 20, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on May 20?$0.34May 20, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on May 20?$0.48May 20, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on May 20?$1.43May 20, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 20?$3.00May 20, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 13?$2.70May 13, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 13?$0.11May 13, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 13?$0.55May 13, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 13?$2.40May 13, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?$70.00May 12, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?$0.57May 11, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?$0.42May 11, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?$0.40May 11, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?$0.28May 11, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?$0.33May 11, 23:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 06:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 04:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".