Negative-Refuse
0xc9df83f7352ed36e5678342579b60638f437a488
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
13000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-6.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
16 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-7.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-7.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-10-17?
7 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.20
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 25-December 1?
7 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.87
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-17?
6 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- TOP ESPORTS
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)
6 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.20
- NO
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2025-10-17?
6 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.94
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by less than 24% in December?$1.05Dec 15, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria join NATO by December 31?$1.21Dec 15, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$1.12Dec 15, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?$10.00Dec 15, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$1.12Dec 9, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?$4.20Dec 2, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?$4.20Dec 2, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 25-December 1?$2.87Nov 25, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?$1.27Nov 25, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.37Nov 25, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by less than 24% in December?$1.05Nov 20, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.36Nov 13, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?$1.25Nov 8, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria join NATO by December 31?$1.20Oct 28, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on October 17?$1.11Oct 21, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Zelenskyy not shake hands on October 17?$1.21Oct 21, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on October 17?$1.30Oct 21, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Yandex vs NAVI Junior (BO3)$1.31Oct 21, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$1.34Oct 19, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 42.5 on October 17 2025?$1.50Oct 19, 01:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 07:12 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 02:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.