0xc9e2ee85ef39ac30c15f23849a018b6863fa6e0c
0xc9e2ee85ef39ac30c15f23849a018b6863fa6e0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-268.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
380 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET
296 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-29.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
252 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-98.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
168 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
107 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 18?
92 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-11.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?
59 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-8.58
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
55 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.35
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
53 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
48 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-14.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score$20.07Jun 30, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score$6.00Jun 30, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET$10.45Jun 30, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET$20.87Jun 30, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$102.39Jun 30, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$2.20Jun 29, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$4.52Jun 29, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-26?$3.09Jun 29, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$5.99Jun 29, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?$3.09Jun 29, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$5.57Jun 29, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$56.25Jun 29, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$6.04Jun 29, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?$11.19Jun 29, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$8.76Jun 29, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?$6.01Jun 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-26?$2.18Jun 26, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$2.20Jun 25, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$2.20Jun 24, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?$2.18Jun 24, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $7.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 22:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 23:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.