Burly-Pantology
0xc9e5bfd9caa5a6cbcd57b08e0ec9cd3382423c6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$668.46
Total PnL
$-64.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
995 shares @ 65.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$592.02
$-54.73
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
131 shares @ 63.4¢·now 58.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$76.44
$-6.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5PM ET
51000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-25.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
20300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 5AM ET
19000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-9.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6AM ET
16495 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-8.2K
- UP
XRP Up or Down - October 15, 3PM ET
9100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-4.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ET
5200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.6K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
4031 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ET
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 8, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $838.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.