Playful-Vestment
0xc9ed0f08cdf701252dc07f6e3ab41cc13a229b29
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$159.58
Total PnL
$-52.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
105 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$105.00
$12.60
- YES
Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity not be proven in 2024?
55 shares @ 91.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$54.58
$4.58
- NO
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
100 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-70.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump wins every swing state?$0.00Nov 12, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$55.00Oct 16, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$52.22Oct 16, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?$70.00Oct 12, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?$92.40Oct 12, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump tweet 15-19 times October 4-11?$0.00Oct 12, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 15-19 times October 4-11?$10.00Oct 10, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50.00Oct 10, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi Nakamoto's identity not be proven in 2024?$50.00Oct 6, 14:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $54.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 14:10 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 19:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".