Massive-Collaboration
0xc9f12b02f0f3dce7e96fb2efa6f4922fe1e95fbf
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-540.65
Realised
$942.00
Win rate
94%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
244 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-83.14
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
196 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-97.16
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
120 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-111.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
77 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-3.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
77 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 9AM ET
73 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-19.60
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 9AM ET
70 shares @ 71.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-50.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
60 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-45.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
59 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-14.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 9AM ET
45 shares @ 66.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-29.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$99.61Jul 12, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$111.83Jun 15, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Türkiye (-1.5)$100.00Jun 14, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Türkiye (-1.5)$84.15Jun 14, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Türkiye (-1.5)$10.85Jun 14, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: United States (-1.5)$100.00Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: United States (-1.5)$94.17Jun 13, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10PM ET$36.00Jan 19, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11PM ET$48.70Jan 19, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11PM ET$10.92Jan 18, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11PM ET$1.28Jan 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11PM ET$10.92Jan 18, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11PM ET$10.32Jan 18, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11PM ET$2.25Jan 18, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11PM ET$2.28Jan 18, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11PM ET$10.20Jan 18, 04:25 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11PM ET$59.17Jan 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11PM ET$3.90Jan 18, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11PM ET$7.56Jan 18, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11PM ET$3.12Jan 18, 04:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
80/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
94% win rate over 34 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
34 closed markets, 94% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $14.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 02:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 02:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.