Responsible-Riding
0xca1ad858272cfa233196793b992a4e6733c2e0ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.43
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
26 shares @ 13.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.43
$-1.95
- NO
Will Jake Paul walk out to Real American by Rick Derringer?
2367 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-666.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
801 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-262.61
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
359 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-71.85
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
292 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- YES
Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
114 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-15.06
- YES
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 14?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 20?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?$1.26Mar 1, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$71.85Feb 14, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$1.00Feb 14, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$1.58Feb 14, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$0.62Feb 14, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.00Feb 14, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the NFC West?$16.67Feb 9, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMBig Game - Winning Conference $30.30Feb 9, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Punxsutawney Phil see his shadow?$30.08Feb 2, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Punxsutawney Phil see his shadow?$19.85Feb 1, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$0.08Feb 1, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$0.16Feb 1, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$10.04Feb 1, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.58Feb 1, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$262.61Jan 29, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$3.00Jan 28, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$10.00Jan 28, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?$2.50Jan 28, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$20.00Jan 28, 19:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $19.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 17:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 02:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.