Sorrowful-Parole
0xca1ed4fb22a21c3230e14d18cd667975f3e88c3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$32.85
Total PnL
$-4.82
Realised
$37.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
244 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$20.78
$-1.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 30?
29 shares @ 17.1¢·now 23.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$6.72
$1.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 29?
25 shares @ 20.3¢·now 19.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$4.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 30?
11 shares @ 8.9¢·now 5.9¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 23?
431 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 21?
36 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 25?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
13 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 28?$6.14May 28, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 30?$1.05May 28, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 29?$9.12May 28, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?$0.69May 28, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 29?$5.20May 28, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 28?$5.05May 28, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 30?$5.21May 28, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 28?$3.25May 28, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 28?$5.13May 28, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 29?$15.46May 27, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?$15.46May 27, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 25?$2.67May 25, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 25?$2.43May 24, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$0.00May 24, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$0.00May 24, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$14.87May 24, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$6.33May 24, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$8.20May 24, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$5.03May 24, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$5.22May 24, 23:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $5.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 22:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 07:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".