Windy-Casket
0xca1f4402a75c12d36e359b591b41f9de7a43c8dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$46.16
Total PnL
$-10.97
Realised
$0.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
44 shares @ 9.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$44.44
$40.44
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.51
$-0.49
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" or "Iran" 4+ times during WEF Address on January 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Television" this week? (January 25)
114 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden's War" this week? (January 25)
113 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 20?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C or below on January 21?
107 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Heat (-6.5)$0.00Apr 13, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?$0.00Apr 13, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (January 25)$0.00Apr 13, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?$0.00Apr 13, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?$0.00Apr 13, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?$0.00Apr 13, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWarriors vs. Clippers$4.55Apr 13, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $360 end of January?$0.00Apr 13, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMJazz vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5$0.00Apr 13, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Sucker" this week? (January 25)$0.00Apr 13, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$0.00Apr 13, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?$0.00Apr 13, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Boom" or "Booming" this week? (January 25)$0.00Apr 13, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMDayton Flyers vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 137.5$0.00Apr 13, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getafe CF win on 2026-04-13?$3.99Apr 13, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Clippers$2.72Apr 13, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Apr 13, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.75Apr 12, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.80Apr 12, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.05Apr 12, 23:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 21:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.