Frugal-Manufacturing
0xca2892474484023320b99aa7773ae935cb052f7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$-1.6K
Win rate
58%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $480 end of January?
1417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-170.74
- NO
Will Meta (META) close above $600 end of January?
1209 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-204.94
- NO
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of January?
1183 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-257.92
- NO
Will Solana dip to $100 in January?
950 shares @ 95.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-911.01
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 end of January?
796 shares @ 38.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-303.47
- YES
Will Solana reach $180 in January?
669 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.69
- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $230 end of January?
588 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-198.77
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 end of January?
508 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-88.09
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of January?
449 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.60
- NO
Will Amy Allen win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
390 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-147.39
Recent activity
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$16.00Feb 2, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$67.75Feb 2, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMTrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?$75.18Feb 2, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$100.00Feb 2, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$120.00Feb 2, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?$152.78Feb 2, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in January 2026?$278.61Feb 2, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?$805.06Feb 2, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$5.4KFeb 2, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$0.00Feb 1, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$115.00Feb 1, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $680 end of January?$9.00Jan 31, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1420.00 and 1439.99 at the end of January 2026?$30.00Jan 31, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of January?$50.00Jan 31, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of January 2026?$50.00Jan 31, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1440.00 and 1459.99 at the end of January 2026?$60.00Jan 31, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of January?$70.00Jan 31, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1420.00 at the end of January 2026?$80.00Jan 31, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $500 end of January?$100.00Jan 31, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,960 on the final trading day of January 2026?$103.00Jan 31, 08:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $46.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 14:57 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 09:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".