Honorable-Anklet
0xca2ae9ac91d41ea267192813107c8ddf27b48fe5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-204.22
Realised
$-1.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
1071 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
462 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
105 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 11?
49 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 16?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
39 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Thank you" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
36 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
35 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 12?
28 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-02-07?
27 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$2.00Mar 18, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1.00Mar 16, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1.00Mar 16, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1.00Mar 16, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1.00Mar 16, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$6.00Mar 7, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$17.10Mar 1, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Obama" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)$7.11Feb 24, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obama" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)$4.00Feb 23, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 23, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$3.00Feb 23, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?$3.68Feb 23, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$11.33Feb 23, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$10.00Feb 23, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 21?$21.35Feb 21, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 21?$9.20Feb 21, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 21?$9.20Feb 21, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 20?$15.97Feb 20, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 20?$8.00Feb 19, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 20?$8.00Feb 19, 22:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $8.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 19:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 22:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.