Troubled-Talk
0xca2e48d36203f0f6cd28b5d16fea788df74b19c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
200000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
142220 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-192.14
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
100000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
14286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
2857 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
502 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
12 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.97Feb 18, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.97Feb 18, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.93Feb 18, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.97Feb 18, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.97Feb 18, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$10.00Feb 18, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Feb 18, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.00Feb 18, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.00Feb 18, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.00Feb 18, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.00Feb 18, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$1.00Feb 18, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$1.89Feb 18, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$0.00Feb 18, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$0.00Feb 18, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$1.97Feb 18, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.97Feb 18, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.97Feb 18, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.00Feb 18, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.00Feb 18, 13:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $73.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 17:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 19:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.