Early-Lender
0xca32ac969b3aa06f2d554e7ea3dbc9e22d54ca3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$200.33
Total PnL
$-119.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
111 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$111.11
$11.11
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
62 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$62.34
$2.34
- NO
Hunter Biden arrested before April?
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2024$21.51
$1.51
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.38
$0.38
- YES
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
115 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Edmonton Oilers longest winning streak in NHL history? (>17 games)
56 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will US gain less than 200k jobs in February?
45 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII?
37 shares @ 54.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will BTC hit $50,000 in February?
24 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 29, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?$60.00Jan 12, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$5.00Jan 12, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$50.00Jan 12, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$5.00Nov 18, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$100.00Jan 7, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?$24.69Jan 7, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$204.08Jan 7, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US gain less than 200k jobs in February?$20.00Feb 18, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMFinnish Presidential Election: Will Alexander Stubb win?$21.51Feb 11, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII?$20.00Feb 11, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BTC hit $50,000 in February?$20.00Feb 1, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?$20.00Jan 29, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdmonton Oilers longest winning streak in NHL history? (>17 games)$20.00Jan 29, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFinnish Presidential Election: Will Alexander Stubb win?$20.00Jan 28, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYHunter Biden arrested before April?$20.00Jan 28, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Jan 20, 23:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $35.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 23:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 10:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.