Polite-Calcification
0xca3e3aaba6c3e31e23b97e50f329efc5984e5471
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.25
Total PnL
$-362.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.25
$-1.75
- UP
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on March 11?
602 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-301.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
60 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-28.20
- UP
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 26?
40 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 13?$11.01Jun 13, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?$30.23Jun 13, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 13?$11.00Jun 13, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?$30.20Jun 13, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12?$30.03Jun 12, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12?$10.56Jun 12, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12?$10.55Jun 12, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12?$30.00Jun 12, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?$10.01Jun 12, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 10?$30.03Jun 12, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?$10.00Jun 10, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 10?$30.00Jun 10, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 9?$11.03Jun 10, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9?$30.03Jun 10, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 9?$11.00Jun 9, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9?$30.00Jun 9, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8?$10.51Jun 9, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?$30.23Jun 9, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8?$10.50Jun 8, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?$30.20Jun 8, 04:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $20.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 04:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.