Ignorant-Marshland
0xca416a62d952c8e209ca247dbc0ea346d76774ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$10.20
Total PnL
$-238.12
Realised
$-1.90
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-04-18?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$10.20
$5.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on March 11?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
368 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on March 26?
262 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on March 11?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
136 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 8?
133 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on April 8?
131 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
97 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-49.22
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
75 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-04-18?$5.00Apr 18, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on April 13?$2.00Apr 9, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on April 13?$2.00Apr 9, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on April 13?$2.00Apr 9, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$0.83Apr 9, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$6.52Apr 9, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$12.00Apr 9, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on April 13?$5.00Apr 9, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$70.00Apr 4, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 8?$2.00Apr 4, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on April 8?$1.00Apr 4, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 84°F or higher on April 4?$3.00Apr 4, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on March 26?$2.00Mar 25, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$50.00Mar 13, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on March 11?$3.00Mar 11, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on March 11?$5.00Mar 11, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$3.00Mar 11, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.80Mar 11, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.20Mar 11, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$3.00Mar 11, 02:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 22:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 07:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".