Worse-Waterspout
0xca43c387f42e4762f03e382cb4b922dcf0bb9d5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$26.58
Win rate
8%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3021 shares @ 38.3¢·now 28.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$860.62
$-297.01
- NO
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?
659 shares @ 46.2¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$279.99
$-24.40
- YES
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-05-31?
360 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$228.77
$-1.80
- YES
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-31?
316 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$156.45
$-1.58
- NO
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-05-31?
190 shares @ 42.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$74.85
$-4.74
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.13
$-1.88
- NO
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?
934 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-504.25
- NO
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?
784 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-517.43
- NO
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?
600 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-270.00
- NO
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?
500 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?$13.12May 31, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?$6.03May 31, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-31?$19.42May 31, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-31?$111.65May 31, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$33.61May 31, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$35.38May 31, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?$19.22May 31, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-31?$29.33May 31, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$147.04May 31, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?$7.19May 31, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$151.67May 31, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burgos CF win on 2026-05-31?$8.04May 31, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?$60.77May 31, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burgos CF win on 2026-05-31?$27.45May 31, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-31?$5.52May 31, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-31?$5.81May 31, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-31?$55.20May 31, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-31?$58.06May 31, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Córdoba CF win on 2026-05-31?$17.79May 31, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Córdoba CF win on 2026-05-31?$45.61May 31, 11:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $71.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 13:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".