0xca4619d4b8280036421f67263a3a536ea8c7b2eb
0xca4619d4b8280036421f67263a3a536ea8c7b2eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on May 10?
775 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2025$0.00
$-348.75
- UP
XRP Up or Down on May 28?
605 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2025$0.00
$-302.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?
370 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-185.00
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield be between 4.4% and 4.5% on April 11?
260 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-176.80
- NO
Will Trump say "Border" 15+ times during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?
180 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-102.60
- NO
Will Iceland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
175 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2025$0.00
$-101.50
- NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in March?
125 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$0.00
$-37.50
- HUMBERT
French Open: Fearnley vs. Humbert
105 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2025$0.00
$-56.70
- YES
Will Ross Ulbricht say "America" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?
85 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2025$0.00
$-54.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down – May 28 (2 PM ET Candle)
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ross Ulbricht say "FBI" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$1.30May 29, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ross Ulbricht say "FBI" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$1.35May 29, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench Open: Fearnley vs. Humbert$56.70May 29, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ross Ulbricht say "America" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$54.40May 29, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down – May 28 (5 AM ET Candle)$5.00May 29, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Million", "Billion", and/or "Trillion" 5+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$80.00May 29, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down – May 28 (10 AM ET Candle)$25.50May 28, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down – May 28 (10 AM ET Candle)$25.50May 28, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down – May 28 (2 PM ET Candle)$25.00May 28, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $109K on May 28 at 5 PM ET?$52.50May 28, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down – May 28 (5 AM ET Candle)$2.55May 28, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $109K on May 28 at 5 PM ET?$58.80May 28, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Million", "Billion", and/or "Trillion" 5+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$37.23May 27, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Million", "Billion", and/or "Trillion" 5+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$3.57May 27, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance say "Gold" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$100.80May 27, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Gold" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$100.80May 27, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on May 28?$302.50May 27, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves win on 2025-05-20?$11.90May 19, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs. Jasmine Paolini$10.00May 19, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs. Jasmine Paolini$3.40May 17, 07:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $41.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 07:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 12:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".