Well-To-Do-Mouton
0xca46ed6455c8a216f0e3149c67e91cdb3cc51ac8
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$176.76
Total PnL
$-342.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
31 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$30.52
$0.52
- NO
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
25 shares @ 78.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$25.48
$5.48
- NO
Will "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
21 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$21.05
$1.05
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
21 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.96
$0.96
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?
21 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$20.64
$0.64
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 3PM ET
20 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$20.41
$0.41
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
15 shares @ 85.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$15.13
$2.13
- NO
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$11.36
$1.36
- YES
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$11.11
$1.11
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
13 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.09
$-10.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$13.00Mar 8, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?$20.00Mar 8, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$20.00Mar 8, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?$10.00Mar 8, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$20.00Mar 8, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$25.52Mar 8, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.00Mar 8, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$30.00Mar 8, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?$20.00Mar 8, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 8, 3PM ET$20.00Mar 8, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$10.00Mar 8, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$20.00Mar 8, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$100.00Mar 8, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yoweri Kaguta Museveni win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?$20.62Mar 8, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Weapons be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$21.74Mar 8, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$30.23Mar 8, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$102.14Mar 8, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $102.49Mar 8, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$26.00Jan 6, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoweri Kaguta Museveni win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?$20.00Jan 6, 23:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $27.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 21:44 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".