Sweaty-Pony
0xca4812cf25f9956d7cbd05120d6081f90db7f00f
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$17.73
Total PnL
$0.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Vitor Roque be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$7.76
$0.02
- NO
Will Franco Mastantuono be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
8 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$7.73
$0.08
- NO
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.25
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Mastantuono be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$7.65May 30, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitor Roque be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$7.74May 30, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?$7.77May 21, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$7.91May 21, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?$7.75Apr 19, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$7.90Apr 19, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$7.78Apr 19, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Momentum Movement (Momentum) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$8.77Apr 19, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Momentum Movement (Momentum) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$8.76Mar 29, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$7.77Mar 29, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$7.45Mar 16, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.46Mar 16, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$7.44Feb 27, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.42Feb 27, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$3.27Feb 24, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$7.40Feb 24, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $200 end of January?$8.20Feb 24, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$7.39Jan 26, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $200 end of January?$8.19Jan 26, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elden Ring Nightreign win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards?$7.03Jan 23, 09:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $5.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 1, 19:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 15:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.