Candid-Fatigue
0xca4896163936eba34fb3fc1ca4636f247b042c02
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-124.60
Realised
$3.12
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
"Caught Stealing" Rotten Tomatoes score is 85 or higher?
75 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- NO
"Weapons" Rotten Tomatoes score is 95%+?
64 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-20.90
- YES
"Weapons" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 90–94%?
51 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-15.15
- YES
"The Conjuring: Last Rites" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 60 and 69?
42 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.45
- YES
Will "Honey Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $3.5m?
40 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
"Freakier Friday" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 50–69%?
37 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-0.37
- YES
"The Conjuring: Last Rites" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 70 and 79?
32 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.66
- YES
"Nobody 2" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 70%?
28 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-0.82
- YES
"Nobody 2" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 80–89%?
25 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$2.53Nov 30, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?$5.00Nov 30, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$1.35Oct 14, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?$4.16Oct 14, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$2.00Oct 13, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Soul on Fire" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?$0.60Oct 11, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 36m?$0.80Oct 10, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUY"Tron: Ares" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 50 and 59?$0.43Oct 8, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEM"The Smashing Machine" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 80 and 89?$1.12Oct 8, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEM"The Smashing Machine" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 80?$5.50Oct 8, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?$1.00Oct 4, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Smashing Machine" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?$1.55Oct 3, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Senior" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 2.5m?$5.00Oct 3, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill "A Big Bold Beautiful Journey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2.5m and 3m?$5.00Oct 3, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "A Big Bold Beautiful Journey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3.5m?$0.15Sep 22, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY"One Battle After Another" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 90 and 94?$0.36Sep 21, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUY"The Smashing Machine" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 80 and 89?$1.00Sep 21, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUY"The Smashing Machine" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 80?$4.95Sep 21, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "A Big Bold Beautiful Journey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3.5m?$1.00Sep 21, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Senior" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3m?$0.07Sep 21, 15:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 12, 13:00 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 30, 11:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".