Poised-Convention
0xca48b8f9b40d20184fd7c8ffd316cad670f8827e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$587.69
Total PnL
$-391.75
Realised
$-261.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13?
210 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$209.90
$1.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?
148 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$147.93
$1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 13?
105 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$104.89
$0.63
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13?
105 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$104.84
$0.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13?
15 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$14.98
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$5.15
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 17?
35 shares @ 99.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-34.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on May 17?
35 shares @ 99.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-34.79
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on May 17?
35 shares @ 99.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-34.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17?
25 shares @ 99.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-24.87
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13?$3.61Jun 13, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 13?$76.04Jun 13, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13?$46.08Jun 13, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?$105.00Jun 13, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13?$389.93Jun 13, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13?$53.14Jun 13, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13?$61.85Jun 13, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13?$101.36Jun 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 13?$104.27Jun 13, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13?$2.91Jun 13, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13?$14.89Jun 13, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13?$188.81Jun 13, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 13?$726.41Jun 13, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13?$5.12Jun 13, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13?$305.00Jun 13, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 13?$158.27Jun 13, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?$34.69Jun 13, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13?$5.03Jun 13, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?$15.51Jun 13, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13?$34.36Jun 13, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $32.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 15:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.