Safe-Browsing
0xca4d7624f5bdcd81927390451ffb99bbca3222a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$18.24
Total PnL
$-13.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.01
$0.60
- NO
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
4 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$4.43
$0.12
- NO
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.50
$0.20
- NO
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
2 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.46
$0.06
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.22
$0.11
- NO
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.62
$0.01
- YES
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?
1333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
571 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
571 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$0.00Jan 23, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.06Jan 23, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$1.22Jan 23, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.49Jan 23, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Theo launch a token by December 31 2025?$2.82Jan 23, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$3.15Jan 23, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$3.66Jan 23, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Base launch a token in 2025?$4.28Jan 23, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.61Jan 21, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$2.11Jan 21, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$2.31Jan 21, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$2.40Jan 21, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?$2.30Jan 21, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$2.01Jan 21, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?$2.51Dec 21, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Theo launch a token by December 31 2025?$2.81Dec 21, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$2.80Dec 21, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.90Dec 21, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$2.10Dec 21, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$2.80Dec 21, 12:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 06:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 19:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.