Electric-Hay
0xca57c263489d51b2b6833802ad6b97c4d865e491
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-411.59
Realised
$22.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
4767 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.99
- YES
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Turning Point" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?
326 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
217 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Kimmel say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during return show on September 23?
200 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Sovereignty" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
143 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
129 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Charlie / Kirk" 15+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?
128 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Israel" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
115 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jutta Leerdam (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$35.00Feb 9, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$25.00Feb 7, 01:24 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.03Feb 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$3.90Feb 6, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$3.55Feb 6, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$1.25Feb 6, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$5.86Feb 3, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$10.00Feb 3, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$5.00Feb 2, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$5.00Feb 1, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$2.00Jan 31, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.00Jan 31, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$76.54Jan 31, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$40.00Jan 29, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$66.71Jan 29, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$43.93Jan 25, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$10.00Dec 6, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$10.00Oct 30, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$30.00Oct 29, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$40.00Sep 26, 22:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $21.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 17:39 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 17:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".