Afraid-Midcourse
0xca5b97ff74548bd6b1a9eebccc00adc4178fb1ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-83.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Robert O'Brien for Secretary of State?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate John Paulson for Treasury Secretary?
23 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?
22 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?
14 shares @ 61.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?$0.01Mar 25, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1.00Mar 3, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?$0.01Jan 28, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $1.41Jan 10, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $1.00Dec 10, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$0.07Dec 10, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?$10.00Dec 4, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 3, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$1.00Dec 3, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?$7.26Dec 3, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?$2.42Dec 3, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?$4.84Dec 2, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?$4.84Dec 2, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of England rate cut in 2025?$0.69Nov 24, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.11Nov 24, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$4.80Nov 24, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 21, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLCardano ETF in 2025?$0.25Nov 21, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token in 2025?$0.26Nov 21, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$0.18Nov 21, 12:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 12:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 14:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".