Ill-Fated-Orchard
0xca5d48e1036b724b641e9a74a4fddd62d449e69a
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$112.46
Total PnL
$-4.79
Realised
$-2.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 9AM ET
112 shares @ 58.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$112.46
$46.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Thug" or "Cartel" during the DC Crime Press Conference?
838 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 6AM ET
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 6AM ET
33 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Rasmus Hojlund sign with a new club during the transfer window?
25 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6AM ET
23 shares @ 43.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4PM ET
21 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2025$0.00
$-10.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6AM ET
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10AM ET
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 27, 9AM ET$66.00Nov 27, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10AM ET$5.00Aug 18, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9AM ET$14.00Aug 18, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9AM ET$10.00Aug 18, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7AM ET$49.52Aug 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7AM ET$40.00Aug 18, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7AM ET$12.30Aug 18, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7AM ET$10.00Aug 18, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7AM ET$10.00Aug 18, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 6AM ET$1.00Aug 18, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 6AM ET$26.57Aug 18, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 6AM ET$20.00Aug 18, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6AM ET$14.92Aug 18, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6AM ET$10.00Aug 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6AM ET$10.00Aug 18, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4AM ET$12.82Aug 18, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4AM ET$5.00Aug 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4AM ET$10.00Aug 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4AM ET$5.00Aug 18, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2AM ET$1.00Aug 18, 07:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $14.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 21:37 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 27, 14:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".