Pleasing-Crawdad
0xca5e5e89c49eeadbcc63b8facbdfc3ea98c4215c
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.25
Total PnL
$-149.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
1 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$1.25
$1.00
- NO
Will Biden finish his term?
356 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-124.62
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
283 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will any Republican congressman come out as gay before March?
231 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2024$0.00
$-9.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$124.62Jul 24, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELL[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?$41.37Jul 24, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$83.25Jul 24, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Biden both win nomination?$0.25Feb 7, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$17.00Feb 7, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$15.00Feb 7, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?$0.00Feb 7, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31?$32.26Feb 7, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMDid Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?$0.00Jan 6, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Republican congressman come out as gay before March?$9.02Jan 5, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31?$10.00Jan 5, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDid Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?$10.00Jan 5, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUY[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?$10.00Jan 5, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?$10.00Jan 5, 05:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $30.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 05:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 08:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".