Staid-Senior
0xca64b243f1abd6ce8ad47192d28561ba058d389a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
1780 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-866.90
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
922 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
823 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
641 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Chocolate" 8+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?
453 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- CANADIENS
Stars vs. Canadiens
343 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-182.22
- YES
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?
329 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Tariff" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?
264 shares @ 37.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Saudi Arabia" at the NYT DealBook Summit?
234 shares @ 85.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the Associated Press first call the 2025 NYC mayoral election between 10:00 PM and 10:59 PM ET on Nov 4 2025?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMMaduro out by March 31, 2026?$303.03May 29, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Team Water" at the NYT DealBook Summit?$135.92Jan 3, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$181.82Jan 3, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5$100.00Dec 3, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStars vs. Devils: O/U 5.5$100.00Dec 3, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Hawks$100.00Dec 3, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast say "Youtube" or "Youtuber" 10+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?$125.14Dec 3, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Chocolate" 8+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?$100.00Dec 3, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$394.79Dec 3, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$98.75Dec 3, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$98.75Dec 3, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$568.15Dec 3, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Saudi Arabia" at the NYT DealBook Summit?$200.00Dec 2, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Team Water" at the NYT DealBook Summit?$100.00Dec 2, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Youtube" or "Youtuber" 10+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?$100.00Dec 2, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bryan Johnson say "Polymarket" while tripping balls?$123.12Dec 1, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$500.00Dec 1, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?$59.06Nov 30, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryan Johnson say "Polymarket" while tripping balls?$100.00Nov 30, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$300.00Nov 30, 20:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $166.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 20:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".