Flimsy-Stem
0xca66edf4421dbca5411b1099b87cfdec7a602872
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-545.86
Realised
$-3.90
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
260 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
191 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
189 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
171 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
163 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-48.40
- NO
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?
145 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
131 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.99
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
120 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
114 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 30, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei seen in public by February 28?$32.29Mar 1, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei seen in public by February 28?$31.00Feb 28, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.11Feb 12, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.91Feb 12, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$0.00Feb 12, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$0.00Feb 12, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$3.00Feb 12, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$9.12Feb 12, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$3.00Feb 12, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$5.00Feb 12, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.41Feb 12, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$5.00Feb 10, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$10.00Feb 10, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$10.00Feb 10, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$2.16Feb 10, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.00Feb 10, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$5.00Jan 27, 11:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $7.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 10:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 08:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".